The 2017 elections across Europe: facts, expectations and consequences

Janis A. Emmanouilidis, Francesca Fabbri, Yann-Sven Rittelmeyer, Adriaan Schout, Corina Stratulat, Fabian Zuleeg

EPC

Brussels 03/2017

PDF-Download


In the upcoming weeks and months national elections will be held in four founding member states of the EU: the Netherlands, France, Germany and Italy. With radical, anti-establishment forces on the (far) left or (far) right side of the political spectrum riding the gusty populist headwinds across Europe (and beyond), many fear that the results will mirror earlier electoral upheavals such as Brexit and the election of Trump, raising the stakes of the votes for each national context, as well as for the EU as a whole.

This Discussion Paper takes a closer look at the upcoming elections in all four countries, presenting the domestic political dynamics at play, assessing various possible governing coalitions in the aftermath of the vote and considering the potential implications of the different likely outcomes for national policymaking and European affairs. Although populists have a public mood of discontent on their side, mainstream politicians might be able to buy themselves some time, not least because Europeans seem currently hesitant about voting anti-establishment parties into office and risk adding to the geo-political and economic uncertainties prompted by the new US administration and the UK’s decision to leave the Union. However, without foresight and a persuasive narrative on why European integration continues to be a ‘win-win’ exercise for the member states and their citizens, mainstream politicians are also recklessly flirting with potential disaster looming in the future.

Authors: Janis A. Emmanouilidis (Director of Studies), Francesca Fabbri (Junior Policy Analyst), Yann-Sven Rittelmeyer (Policy Analyst), Adriaan Schout (Coordinator of EU affairs at the Netherlands Institute of International Affairs (Clingendael)), Corina Stratulat (Senior Policy Analyst) and Fabian Zuleeg (Chief Executive and Chief Economist)

Download available here


Latest publications

The von der Leyen European Commission at midterm: Same priorities, different reality
Corina Stratulat, Johannes Greubel, Perle Petit, Danielle Brady, Silvia Carta, Simon Dekeyrel, Francesco De Angelis, Janis A. Emmanouilidis, Melanie Fessler, Emily Fitzpatrick, Andrea García Rodríguez, Tommaso Grossi, Annika Hedberg, Elizabeth Kuiper, Marta Mucznik, Laura Rayner, Stefan Sipka, Brussels 06/2022

Adding Ambition to Europe's Unity
Herman Van Rompuy and Brigid Laffan et al., Project Syndicate, Brussels 06/2022

Under Construction: Citizen Participation in the European Union
Stefan Bloch, Paul Butcher, Maarten de Groot, Janis A. Emmanouilidis, Dominik Hierlemann, Corina Stratulat, Verlag Bertelsmann Stiftung / Gütersloh 05/2022

After the Conference on the Future of Europe – Moving into a new era
Janis A. Emmanouilidis, Johannes Greubel, Georg E. Riekeles and Corina Stratulat, Brussels 05/2022

Conference on the Future of Europe: What worked, what now, what next?
Janis A. Emmanouilidis, Theodora Famprikezi, Johannes Greubel, Dominik Hierlemann, Perle Petit, Georg E. Riekeles and Corina Stratulat, Brussels 02/2022

Differentiated EUrope 2035 – Infographic
Janis A. Emmanouilidis, Infographic based on EU IDEA Policy Paper No. 16, Brussels 10/2021

Differentiated EUrope 2035 – video
Janis A. Emmanouilidis, Video based on EU IDEA Policy Paper No. 16, Brussels 10/2021

Η ΕΛΛΑΔΑ ΣΤΗΝ ΕΥΡΩΠΗ ΤΟΥ 2040
Loukas Tsoukalis | Thodoris Georgakopoulos | Ruby Gropas | Maria Demertzis | Janis A. Emmanouilidis | George Pagoulatos | Axel Sotiris Waldén | , ΛΕΥΚΗ ΒΗΒΛΟΣ «Η ΕΛΛΑΔΑ ΤΟ 2040» (Greece in Europe 2040), Athens 10/2021

The debate on the future of Europe has a German problem
Janis A. Emmanouilidis and Johannes Greubel, Brussels 09/2021

Differentiated EUrope 2035 – Elaboration and Evaluation of Five Potential Scenarios
Janis A. Emmanouilidis, EU IDEA Policy Paper No. 16, Brussels 09/2021


Publications