Europe's Reactive and Protective Muddling Through
Janis A. Emmanouilidis
Post-summit Analysis
Brussels 10/2015
The EUs October 2015 summit was dominated by one issue, the migration and refugee crisis, with EU leaders intent on putting on a public display of unity after weeks of bitter arguments and concentrating on fire-fighting and immediate measures to tackle the most pressing reasons for, and impacts of, the crisis. Longer-term measures to address some of the root causes of increased migratory flows, support for the integration of newly arrived refugees or the introduction of new channels of legal migration, were not discussed. The Summit also spent little time on two issues that had originally been expected to be a key part of the agenda: the forthcoming British referendum on EU membership, where irritation with the slow pace of talks and British vagueness about its demands were in evidence; and the governance of Economic and Monetary Union (EMU), where EU leaders missed another opportunity for a thorough debate about future perspectives on the basis of the Five Presidents Report.
One year into current political cycle, the EU and its members are again in fire-fighting mode. The migration/refugee crisis is fully preoccupying EU institutions and governments, while the euro crisis and the Ukraine crisis are not yet over. In general, the EUs ability to tackle all these interrelated crises effectively is restricted by a number of limiting factors which can be summarised in four words: mistrust, complexity, divergence, and disappointment. One could argue that this is not new, but things have got worse in recent years and the migration/refugee crisis seems to be fuelling this. As a consequence, it seems that the best we can hope for in the immediate future is some kind of reactive and protective muddling through, with EU institutions and member states mainly preoccupied with fighting the many forces of disintegration.
Download available here
Latest publications
Overcoming a hollow & illusory unity – Preparing EUrope for Trump
Janis A. Emmanouilidis | Almut Möller | Fabian Zuleeg, EPC Commentary, Brussels 11/2024
Reactions to the next Commission
Fabian Zuleeg & Janis A. Emmanouilidis, EPC Flash Analysis, Brussels 09/2024
Confronting the permacrisis: Time for a supra-governmental avantgarde
Fabian Zuleeg, Almut Möller, Janis A. Emmanouilidis, EPC Discussion Paper, Brussels 07/2024
Eight structural innovations for the EU’s next politico-institutional cycle
Janis A. Emmanouilidis and Fabian Zuleeg, EPC Discussion Paper, Brussels 06/2024
Participatory democracy at the EU level: How to break the invisible ceiling?
Janis A. Emmanouilidis and Corina Stratulat, Observatory Report, EPC & EU Democracy Reform Observatory 03/2024
Europawahl 2024 – was für die EU und Deutschland auf dem Spiel steht
Janis A. Emmanouilidis and Johannes Greubel, Brussels 01/2024
Turning Fear Into Hope
Herman Van Rompuy | Fabian Zuleeg | Janis A. Emmanouilidis | Jacki Davis, EPC 11/2022
Overcoming the ambition-unity dilemma
Janis A. Emmanouilidis and Fabian Zuleeg, Brussels 10/2022
The Future is Now – What next after the Conference on the Future of Europe?
Janis A. Emmanouilidis, Taking Stock, Moving Forward: Reflections Following the Conference on the Future of Europe, Hanns Seidel Foundation & ELIAMEP, Athens 08/2022
Europe’s moment of truth: United by adversity?
Janis A. Emmanouilidis and Fabian Zuleeg, Brussels 07/2022