Greek government debt compromise not what SYRIZA wanted
Inching towards debt redemption, the negotiations between Greece and its emergency lenders have raised the occasional mention of the word Grexit over the past few months but quietly, because if they failed it could hardly be good for the euro. [...]
Janis Emmanouilidis, Director of Studies and Head of Programmes at the European Policy Centre in Brussels, spoke to Efi Koutsokosta about the challenges still ahead.
Efi Koutsokosta, euronews: Its the first time after five months of this Greek drama that it seems that we are very close to an agreement. Do you see finally a fair compromise?
Janis Emmanouilidis: Obviously, the Greek government had to give in on many issues; its not really linked to what they had proposed before the elections that includes a lot of measures to increase taxes in order to increase income. So its a compromise, which, seen from the Greek perspective, is not one that reflects what the Greek government, what SYRIZA had wanted, but more reflecting what the partners had asked for. It is a compromise in a difficult situation, but if there is no compromise, the outcome would probably be much worse.
euronews: There is still no agreement. What should we expect over the next two days, until the Eurogroup meeting on Wednesday?
Emmanouilidis: There is one question in the air which needs to be settled, which is also something that the IMF was strongly pushing towards, which is debt sustainability. Will it be some kind of reference to the level of Greek debt, to whether the issue will be taken up in the future? However, a reference which goes beyond what was already promised at the end of 2012 was that debt sustainability will be something which is going to be analysed and checked.
euronews: [IMF chief] Christine Lagarde said that there is still a lot of work to be done. Is it possible that the IMF could no longer be on board for the next agreement?
Emmanouilidis: I think this is very difficult. If you look at key players, especially Berlin also others but especially Berlin they are very eager to have the IMF on board and they are still very eager to have the IMF on board.
So, I think the chances are strong that the IMF will, in the end, be part of this but, again, this is not the end of the Greek saga; there will be a continuation because there is more to come and the IMF certainly also plays a role.
euronews: The Greek government has made a lot of concessions on the way to an agreement. Is it going to be easy to convince the people back home?
Emmanouilidis: This is the next step. In a way, after negotiations the ball will be in the Greek court. There will have to be discussions within SYRIZA, within the government, with the independent Greeks, as they want a majority in parliament to get it through. This will not be easy.
On the other hand, it seems there is some opposition but they still have a majority of 12 members of parliament; the question is, will they be able to defend their majority? I think that there are chances that it will happen but it wont be easy.
Link to original text here
Latest media contributions
European Populists Who Looked to Trump Now Look Away
Quotes, The New York Times, 13.01.2021
EPC Update – State of the Union & challenges for 2021
Online Briefing, YouTube, 08.01.2021
Alemania al mando del Consejo Europeo: logros y fracasos
Quotes, Deutsche Welle (Spanish), 15.12.2020
Taking Stock of the German EU Council Presidency and Identifying Challenges for 2021
Online DGAP-EPC Event, YouTube, 15.12.2020
Jokes About Hungarian ‘Dictator’ Masked Breach at Heart of EU
Quotes, Bloomberg, 10.12.2020
"Gesamtnote 2- oder 3+"
Quotes, tagesschau, 01.12.2020
Europas Erfolge, Europas Enttäuschungen: Das erste Jahr der neuen EU-Spitze
Podcast, hr info, 01.12.2020
Die Zeit kühner Prognosen ist vorüber
Quotes, Die Presse (Austria), 27.11.2020
EPC Annual Conference 2020 – European integration in light of COVID-19: United in adversity or my country first?
Online Conference, YouTube, 13.11.2020
US election: EU pins hopes on Joe Biden victory
Quotes, Deutsche Welle (English), 01.11.2020